Wednesday, August 1, 2018

UFC 227 Predictions

Wow. This card looked a lot better a few weeks ago. Now that it's finally here it's just underwhelming. The main event between TJ and Cody is a banger but aside from that there's just not a lot going on. Gustafsson-Volkan definitely would have helped but even then it's still on the weaker side. UFC 226 is a tough act to follow, let's hope this card is even half as good as that one. Anyway, enough bitching and moaning from me, here are my picks for UFC 227.

Thiago Santos vs Kevin Holland

Big respect to Kevin Holland. It takes some serious stones to take a fight with Thiago Santos on short notice. Most fighters wouldn't. Unfortunately for Kevin, there's a reason why most fighters wouldn't. Thiago Santos is a SAVAGE. Santos is a vicious striker with incredible knockout power. Sure he some problems. His submission defence is questionable and his chin is a bit suspect (hell, David Branch knocked him out). Still, I don't think Holland is ready for this level of competition just yet. Expect an early finish, a brutal one.

Pick: Thiago Santos by Round 1 KO

Polyana Viana vs JJ Aldrich

Who? Well after a quick google search I found that Viana is the girl who choked out Mrs. Joe Daddy, and Aldrich has had 3 fights in the UFC, most recently defeating Danielle Taylor. Since I don't remember much about either fighter I'm going completely off records. Viana has beaten a bunch of Brazilians I've never heard of, while Aldrich has racked up multiple wins in both the UFC and Invicta (over fighters I've never heard of). I'll take Aldrich just based on experience, but I really couldn't care less about this fight.

Pick: JJ Aldrich by Decision

Cub Swanson vs Renato Moicano

Featherweight is quickly becoming one of the more exciting divisions in the UFC, and this fight is a great opportunity to see who belongs in the 145 title picture. It was fun seeing Cub claw his way back to the top of the division, but after dropping 2 straight to the divisions elite it's hard to see Cub making another run. Renato however is proving to be a solid contender, posting a win over Jeremy Stephens and giving Ortega one of his toughest bouts. I think Cub is a live dog in this fight but Moicano seems to be hitting his stride, and I think he takes the win on Saturday. Don't expect a short one though. Moicano's only scored one finish in his UFC tenure and Cub's last finish was back in 2013.

Pick: Renato Moicano by Decision

 Demetrious Johnson vs Henry Cejudo 2

Why does this need to happen? We saw this fight 2 years ago and it wasn't even close. I'll admit Henry has certainly improved since then, but so has Demetrious. It's still waaaay too soon for this rematch. Unfortunately, due to the lack of real competition at 125 it's happening again. Yippie. I do believe Cejudo has improved to the point where instead of being humiliated in the first round, he'll take a controlled beating for 25 minutes. Still won't be close though. Mighty Mouse is just miles ahead of the rest of the division. If only there was someone from a higher weight class that was willing to come down and challenge him... maybe even a champion...

Pick: Demetrious Johnson by Decision

TJ Dillashaw vs Cody Garbrandt 2

 Finally, a rematch that makes sense. The first fight between these two could have gone either way, and I have no reason to believe this one couldn't either. Both men are powerful, fast, athletic, and best of all, they HATE eachother. Sometimes emotions can make or break a fighter, and TJ seems to be the calmer of the two. Cody is somewhat of a hothead and could cost himself the fight if his emotions get the better of him. TJ also has the confidence of winning the first meeting, which is a huge mental advantage. This fight is still razor-close, but all the signs point to a Dillashaw victory. I think he gets it done early. Real early.

Pick: TJ Dillashaw by Round 1 KO